Safiya Mbeki, Africa region analyst at Worldwise Analytica

Safiya Mbeki

Navigating Africa's Complexities with Insight and Integrity

Regional Rivalries, Economic Pressures, and Governance Shifts Shape Africa's Geopolitical Landscape

Clashes between Jubbaland and Somali federal forces highlight deep divisions within Somalia as the mandate of the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) nears expiration. The conflict risks diverting attention from the fight against al-Shabaab and could undermine stability in the Horn of Africa.

France's withdrawal of military equipment from Chad marks a symbolic end to decades of French military presence in the Sahel. This move reflects broader regional shifts as military regimes in Chad and neighboring countries pivot away from traditional Western alliances towards alternative partners like Russia.

Rising human trafficking cases in sub-Saharan Africa, highlighted by a UN report, underscore the impact of conflicts and climate-induced displacement. Vulnerable populations remain at heightened risk, demanding urgent international cooperation and protective measures.

Chagossian protests in the UK against the sovereignty deal between Britain and Mauritius emphasize the need for inclusive solutions to historical injustices. While the agreement allows for resettlement, the lack of Chagossian input underscores lingering grievances over displacement and exclusion.

The ICC's trial of Sudanese militia leaders and allegations against Ali Kushayb reflect ongoing accountability efforts for Darfur atrocities. However, the renewed conflict in Sudan underscores the challenges of ensuring justice amidst ongoing violence and political instability.

Nigeria's donation of gunboats to its navy reflects local and federal collaboration in combating oil theft. This initiative highlights the role of state-level efforts in addressing national challenges, though broader structural reforms remain essential for sustained progress.

In conclusion, December 11 showcases Africa's intersecting challenges of governance, security, and socio-economic reform. Addressing these requires enhanced regional cooperation, international support, and inclusive policymaking to foster resilience and stability.

Geopolitical Risk Assessment for the Africa
(11-12-2024)

Africa's geopolitical and economic landscape on December 11 reflects escalating security challenges, political instability, and the impact of economic pressures. Regional rivalries, evolving international partnerships, and internal governance challenges dominate the agenda, demanding coordinated responses.

Geopolitical Risk Index

Developments to Follow for the Africa (See All Global)