Safiya Mbeki, Africa region analyst at Worldwise Analytica

Safiya Mbeki

Navigating Africa's Complexities with Insight and Integrity

Sudan's Escalating Conflict and Regional Resource Crises Shape Africa's Geopolitical Landscape

Evidence of arms shipments from the UAE to Sudan's RSF via Chad raises concerns about the prolonged nature of Sudan's conflict. The alleged flow of weapons highlights the role of external actors in fueling instability and calls for intensified international efforts to curb such interventions.

Zimbabwe faces a worsening drought as El Ni'o-induced weather patterns disrupt food security for millions. The crisis emphasizes the need for regional climate adaptation strategies and international support to address immediate and long-term vulnerabilities in Southern Africa.

Somalia and Ethiopia's agreement to resolve their dispute over Somaliland's ports reflects progress in easing tensions. Mediated by Turkey, the discussions signal a commitment to regional stability and economic cooperation, though the underlying issues remain complex.

Mozambique's Balama graphite project disruption continues to challenge global supply chains for critical minerals. Protests and civil unrest not only hinder operations but also highlight governance issues that could deter future investments in the sector.

South Africa's lowered inflation expectations and potential for deeper interest rate cuts signal improving economic conditions. While inflation remains below target, structural challenges, including labor market reforms and energy stability, must be addressed for sustained growth.

Ivory Coast's record cocoa grind in November reflects the resilience of its agricultural sector amidst global economic uncertainties. The increase in processing capacity underscores the country's potential to expand its role in the global cocoa supply chain.

In conclusion, Africa's developments on December 13 highlight the duality of opportunities and challenges. While regional negotiations and economic resilience present hopeful signs, conflicts and environmental crises demand immediate and sustained attention.

Geopolitical Risk Assessment for the Africa
(13-12-2024)

Africa's geopolitical landscape on December 13 reflects persistent challenges in governance, resource conflicts, and economic sustainability. While promising negotiations and regional collaborations provide hope, escalating violence in Sudan and environmental crises in Zimbabwe underscore the continent's vulnerabilities.

Geopolitical Risk Index

Developments to Follow for the Africa (See All Global)