Sudan's Humanitarian Collapse and Africa's Governance Crises Shape the Geopolitical Landscape on January 10
Sudan's currency overhaul, while aimed at crippling the RSF's financial networks, reveals the unintended consequences of exclusionary policies. By requiring bank deposits to exchange old banknotes, millions in RSF-controlled territories have been excluded from the financial system, effectively deepening the country's socio-political divides. While the policy has boosted state resources, critics highlight its role in intensifying grievances and economic disenfranchisement. To prevent further conflict escalation, Sudan must adopt inclusive economic measures and prioritize equitable governance reforms.
Chad's foiled attack on the presidential palace underscores the fragility of its political landscape. The attempt, which coincided with China's visit to deepen bilateral ties, illustrates Chad's vulnerabilities amid regional instability from Sudan's war and Sahelian jihadist threats. This highlights the urgency of bolstering internal security mechanisms and recalibrating Chad's defense strategies in the wake of its realignment from France to alternative partnerships.
South Africa's economic struggles, marked by a weakening rand and declining manufacturing activity, emphasize structural inefficiencies that leave the country vulnerable to global market dynamics. Recent declines in the Purchasing Managers' Index and manufacturing output reflect deep-seated challenges in logistics and energy. Sustainable recovery will hinge on structural reforms, investment in infrastructure, and addressing systemic governance shortcomings.
MSF's suspension of medical activities in Sudan's Bashair Hospital exposes the catastrophic collapse of healthcare infrastructure in conflict zones. Frequent attacks on medical facilities by RSF forces and targeted airstrikes have cut off life-saving services for tens of thousands. With 80% of hospitals in conflict zones non-operational, the international community must urgently intervene to protect medical infrastructure and ensure humanitarian access amid worsening famine-like conditions.
Mozambique's political unrest continues to exacerbate socio-economic strains as opposition leader Venancio Mondlane challenges the legitimacy of recent elections. Post-election violence, which has claimed hundreds of lives, has disrupted trade with South Africa and strained border regions. Mozambique's crisis underscores the necessity of independent electoral reforms, rights accountability, and inclusive political dialogue to restore stability.
In conclusion, January 10 reflects a convergence of governance, economic, and humanitarian challenges across Africa. Sudan and Chad's crises highlight the fragility of governance in conflict zones, while South Africa and Mozambique underscore the socio-economic pressures facing the continent. Resolving these issues will require a balance of immediate humanitarian interventions and long-term structural reforms, bolstered by regional collaboration and international engagement.
Geopolitical Risk Assessment for the Africa
(10-01-2025)
Africa's geopolitical environment on January 10 reflects intensifying crises in security, governance, and humanitarian conditions, particularly in Sudan and Chad. Economic pressures in South Africa and Mozambique's unrest further illustrate systemic challenges. Opportunities for progress require concerted regional strategies and enhanced international cooperation, with a focus on resolving conflicts, promoting accountability, and addressing socio-economic disparities.
Geopolitical Risk Index
Developments to Follow for the Africa (See All Global)
Previous Briefings
- Sudan's Humanitarian Collapse and Africa's Governance Crises Shape the Geopolitical Landscape on January 10 - (10-01-2025)
- Security Threats and Resource Politics Shape Africa's Geopolitical Challenges on January 9 - (09-01-2025)
- Resource Exploitation and Governance Challenges Shape Africa's Geopolitical Landscape on January 8 - (08-01-2025)
- Gold Politics, Security Threats, and Resource Disruptions Reshape Africa's Geopolitical Landscape on January 7 - (07-01-2025)
- Security Escalations and Strategic Partnerships Shape Africa's Geopolitical Landscape on January 6 - (06-01-2025)
- Reforms, Resilience, and Security Tensions Define Africa's Geopolitical Trajectory - (05-01-2025)
- Cross-Border Tensions, Volcanic Risks, and Governance Challenges Define Africa's Geopolitical Landscape on January 4 - (04-01-2025)
- Regional Tensions and Economic Trends Define Africa's Geopolitical Dynamics on January 3 - (03-01-2025)
